Losing the AAA rating is just the beginning

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Callam Pickering does a good job of outlining the importance of the loss of the AAA rating today at Dad’s Army:

It would undermine some of the work done by the RBA, as banks pass on their higher funding costs to households and businesses. According to Goldman Sachs, government bond yields would rise 11.7 basis points if there was a ‘negative outlook’ revision and obviously higher again on an actual downgrade.

That might not seem like much — what’s 11.7 basis points among friends? — but from the perspective of Australia’s banking system and the broader economy we are talking about billions of dollars.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.