Yesterday we had a dead heat in post-Budget polling with Ipsos showing a big bounce for the Coalition and Newspoll a steady sink. Today we get the tie-breaker from Roy Morgan and the winner is the Budget:
Federal L-NP support is up 2.5% since April 25/26 & May 2/3, 2015 to 49% cf. ALP 51% (down 2.5%) according to this week’s Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention following last week’s Federal Budget and conducted over the weekend, May 16/17, 2015, with an Australia-wide cross-section of 2,439 Australian electors. If a Federal Election were held today it would be too close to call.
Primary support for the L-NP rose to 41.5% (up 1.5%) ahead of the ALP 35.5% (down 2%). Support for the other parties shows the Greens at 12.5% (up 1%), Palmer United Party (PUP) 1.5% (unchanged), Katter’s Australian Party 1.5% (up 0.5%), while Independents/ Others were 7.5% (down 1%).
Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating
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David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal.
He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.
Federal L-NP support is up 2.5% since April 25/26 & May 2/3, 2015 to 49% cf. ALP 51% (down 2.5%) according to this week’s Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention following last week’s Federal Budget and conducted over the weekend, May 16/17, 2015, with an Australia-wide cross-section of 2,439 Australian electors. If a Federal Election were held today it would be too close to call.
