Chinese GDP is in a hard landing

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China’s GDP for the March QTR is out and hit consensus at 7% year on year, a six year low, but missed quarterly at 1.3%, an annualised rate of 5.2%:

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The March internals are bad. Industrial production came in at 5.6% y/y versus 7.0% expected and the trend is headed to the woodshed:

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All important fixed asset investment fell to 13.5% year to date from 13.9%:

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Retail sales fell to 10.2% versus 10.9% expected:

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All of these figures are comparable to GFC lows and there is really no other way to describe it than a hard landing, albeit one without crisis.

Sadly, the Australian dollar hardly budged, which is pretty weird given how much worse these figures are than the recent trade data.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.