Bill Evans: RBA to cut in May

Advertisement

Westpac’s Bill Evans sticks to his May rate cut call:

We have now passed the last three significant milestones for insights into the Reserve Bank Board decision on May 5. These are the Board minutes for the April meeting; the Governor’s important speech in New York; and the March quarter inflation report. From our perspective the case for a cut in May remains strong and we continue to expect the Bank to finally deliver on the second leg of the 50bp’s of cuts in “early 2015” we forecast back on December 4 last year.

Read on…

18 out of 20 economist are now predicting a cut in May and the two dissenters – NAB and MQG – still see easing, just later.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.