Bill Evans calls Australian dollar bottom, again

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From The Australian:

With the RBA’s current easing bias making an April/May rate cut likely, and US interest rate hikes potentially starting as early as June, there’s a good chance the Australian dollar will settle around 75 US cents by mid-2015, according to Westpac Chief Economist Bill Evans.

He notes that AUD/USD has fallen about 25% in the past two years, while Australia’s export commodity index fell by 38%, and with around 70% of Australia’s total exports priced in US dollars, the additional fall in AUD/USD that would be needed to neutralise the recent commodity price falls would be around 2.5 cents.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.