China hard landing risks are rising

Advertisement

Late yesterday I looked on as another talking head declared a Chinese hard landing was off at Gina’s mining newsletter:

Graham Harman, Russell Investments’ Asia-Pacific strategist, said that China’s policy move fit neatly with the ‘bad news is good news’ mentality of investors. “We’re in bull market mode, with zero interest rates and a recovering world economy your broad pre-disposition is to be positive about all that. If you then get negative news but if it immediately elicits a rate cut or a stimulatory package be it from China, Japan or Europe… the market has been very much taking these things as good news,” he said.

Has it? Are we? There’s no bull market in Australia. There is a raging mining bear market and deeply troubled rebalancing. As well, the market response to the PBOC move has been conspicuously weak. Mental note: sell Graham Harman.

The full text of this article is available to MacroBusiness subscribers

$1 for your first month, then:
Cancel at any time through our billing provider, Stripe
About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.