VEDA: Budget hit Q2 business credit

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From VEDA today:

veda

The Veda Quarterly Business Credit Demand Index, measuring applications for business loans, trade credit and asset finance expanded 0.5% in the June quarter 2014.

This increase is reflected in a drop in asset finance (-4.9%), offset by a small increase in trade credit applications (+0.3%) and a rise in business loans (+4.9%).

Overall business credit applications declined across the mining states but grew in the non-mining states during the year to the June quarter. The mining states (WA, Queensland and NT) experienced an easing in business credit demand (- 0.9%). Business credit applications in the non-mining states grew at an annual rate of 1.2% in the June quarter, deteriorating from an annual growth rate of 3.5% recorded in the March quarter 2014.

The best performing states were SA (+1.9%), NSW (+1.6%), Queensland (+1.1%), Victoria (+0.9%) and the ACT (+0.9%). Falls were recorded in Tasmania (-5.8%), WA (-4.6%) and the NT (-1.5%)

Despite an easing nationally of business loan applications to +4.9%, stronger growth was seen in the eastern states including NSW (+5.2%), Victoria (+7.9%) and Queensland (+7.2%) as well as in SA (+7.7%), and the NT (+9.1%). A decline was recorded in WA (-5.9%), Tasmania (-4.6%) and the ACT (-4.7%).

Within business loans, the strength recorded earlier in the year for commercial mortgage applications eased (+3.3%), and applications for lending proposals (+13.6%) and overdrafts (+31.2%) lifted strongly.

Trade credit applications (+0.3%) softened in the June quarter. Falls in trade credit applications were reported in Victoria (-2.3%), followed by the NT (-2%).Tasmania and WA were flat (0%). Growth was seen in NSW (+0.5%), Queensland (+2%), SA (+3.5%), and the ACT (+6.2%).

“The new Federal Budget issued this June quarter may have stifled business confidence, impacting the level of SME activity in the market,” said Mr Samaha.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.