China’s Flash PMI falls again

Advertisement

The China Flash PMI is out and blow me down it dropped:

Flash China Manufacturing PMI™ at 48.1 in March (48.5 in February). Eight-month low.

Flash China Manufacturing Output Index at 47.3 in March (48.8 in February). Eighteen-month low. Data collected 12–20 March 2014.

The HSBC Flash China Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index™ (PMI™) is published on a monthly basis ahead of final PMI data, making the HSBC PMI the earliest available indicator of manufacturing sector operating conditions in China. The estimate is typically based on approximately 85%–90% of total PMI survey responses each month and is designed to provide an accurate indication of the final PMI data. March final PMI data will be released on 1 April 2014.

The internals are ugly with production and new orders falling faster and inventories rising more quickly than February:

pmi
Advertisement
dsvsd

One big plus was the new export orders which jumped, perhaps on the end of the US winter, at a wild guess.

China is clearly slipping into a funk. The dollar dropped 30 pips.

Advertisement
About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.