Comment of the year

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Reader Briefly noted the following on today’s Woodside post:

It is all going to pieces. Exports will not climb enough to cover the structural income deficit. External instability and its cousin, fiscal instability, are there for all to see.

The downturn has already started. When a Tory Treasurer gives a pro-cyclical boost to contraction, everything will come apart.

Rising unemployment, business failures, fiscal deterioration, distress in property, banking and credit, depreciation, declines in real wages and further hits to demand and profits.

The big adjustment is starting.

I could not have summarised the risks in our present situation more succinctly.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.