The foolproof investment

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I just noticed that the residex blog had a couple of interesting data tables containing the breakdown of growth in house and unit prices over various time periods according to their own indexes.

Houses

Area Median Value Growth Rent Sales Predictions
20 Years % p.a.
10 Years % p.a.
Year Ending
July 2011
Last Quarter
Last Month
Rate Month
Ending July 2011
Month Ending
July 2011
Month Ending
Jul 2010
Year Change
Year Change
5 year %p.a.
ACT $534,000 7.37% 9.67% 0.23% 0.08% -1.18% 4.59% $470 $460 2.17% -2.58% 1.08%
Adelaide $399,000 n/a 8.98% -2.44% -1.76% -1.06% 4.45% $340 $320 6.25% 0.17% 0.10%
SA Country $262,000 n/a 9.04% -0.18% -3.02% -0.52% 4.98% $250 $240 4.17% -6.47% -0.34%
Brisbane $436,500 6.92% 9.78% -6.04% -1.39% -1.06% 4.60% $385 $375 2.67% -21.78% 5.20%
QLD Country $369,000 6.50% 9.28% -4.09% -0.26% -0.60% 5.30% $375 $360 4.17% -13.71% 4.91%
Darwin $499,000 n/a 10.87% -2.84% -1.44% -0.24% 5.43% $520 $530 -1.89% -28.36% 6.14%
Northern Territory $470,000 n/a 11.02% -2.43% -0.36% 0.06% 5.75% $520 $505 2.97% -24.54% 5.27%
Hobart $379,000 n/a 11.21% -0.81% -0.44% -1.74% 4.82% $350 $340 2.94% -14.90% 6.69%
TAS Country $267,500 n/a 10.51% -0.11% 0.72% 1.18% 5.07% $260 $250 4.00% -11.40% 6.40%
Melbourne $586,500 7.73% 9.05% -0.92% -2.16% -1.24% 3.38% $380 $370 2.70% 7.55% 2.28%
VIC Country $328,000 6.55% 8.84% 4.66% -1.73% 0.01% 4.93% $310 $290 6.90% -2.26% 1.13%
Perth $471,000 8.78% 10.20% -3.90% -2.14% -0.82% 4.32% $390 $370 5.41% -13.39% 8.05%
WA Country $358,000 8.42% 10.30% 4.32% 2.57% -1.98% 4.81% $330 $300 10.00% -13.71% 7.48%
Sydney $674,500 6.84% 6.20% 0.96% 1.02% 0.12% 4.10% $530 $500 6.00% -21.44% 5.64%
NSW Country $340,000 6.33% 7.26% 1.24% -0.20% -0.70% 5.29% $345 $320 7.81% -23.14% 5.28%
Australia $436,000 n/a 9.00% -1.84% -1.70% -0.43% 4.49% $375 $360 4.17% -11.45% 4.43%

Units

Area Median Value Growth Rent Sales Predictions
20 Years % p.a.
10 Years % p.a.
Year Ending
July 2011
Last Quarter
Last Month
Rate Month
Ending July 2011
Month Ending
July 2011
Month Ending
Jul 2010
Year Change
Year Change
5 year %p.a.
ACT $428,500 7.60% 10.25% 1.38% -0.14% 1.61% 5.18% $425 $420 1.19% 7.02% -0.90%
Adelaide $308,000 n/a 10.13% -0.94% -3.54% -1.33% 4.91% $290 $270 7.41% -5.99% -0.66%
SA Country $234,500 n/a 8.12% 3.48% -0.46% -0.57% 4.23% $190 $185 2.70% -6.27% -0.71%
Brisbane $358,500 6.21% 9.50% -1.80% -1.56% -0.42% 5.10% $350 $350 0.00% -19.10% 1.75%
QLD Country $312,500 5.28% 8.40% -9.78% -4.47% -2.38% 5.34% $320 $310 3.23% -25.93% 2.71%
Darwin $391,000 n/a 10.84% -8.08% -2.81% -1.42% 5.60% $420 $440 -4.55% -29.56% 4.90%
Northern Territory $382,000 n/a 10.91% -6.81% -3.23% -1.52% 5.73% $420 $410 2.44% -28.61% 4.26%
Hobart $279,000 n/a 10.41% -1.13% -1.81% -0.87% 5.05% $270 $265 1.89% -17.93% 6.20%
TAS Country $207,000 n/a 10.03% -5.32% -5.10% -1.86% 5.54% $220 $200 10.00% -17.99% 5.71%
Melbourne $449,500 7.41% 8.19% -1.40% -1.60% 0.37% 4.18% $360 $350 2.86% -2.66% 2.91%
VIC Country $261,000 6.22% 9.06% 3.49% -0.45% 1.32% 5.19% $260 $230 13.04% -14.24% 0.15%
Perth $388,500 7.59% 10.08% -5.96% -0.24% -1.95% 5.04% $375 $360 4.17% -15.51% 1.25%
WA Country $297,500 6.20% 7.03% -6.77% -0.05% 2.15% 5.43% $310 $290 6.90% -21.35% 2.21%
Sydney $488,000 6.26% 5.62% 3.09% 1.11% 0.57% 4.81% $450 $440 2.27% -13.68% 3.10%
NSW Country $300,500 5.37% 7.03% -0.83% -1.02% -0.37% 4.95% $285 $275 3.64% -16.53% 2.13%
Australia $398,500 n/a 7.28% -0.74% -0.84% 0.22% 4.71% $360 $355 1.41% -13.08% 2.76%

You can see that the current period is not something people in Australia are accustomed to, and you can certainly see why older generations of Australians have a “you can’t lose with housing” attitude to investing.

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That may of course have something to do with this chart.