Bank CDS prices rocket

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Find below a chart of recent CDS price movements for the major banks:

 

And for a longer term perspective, try this one:

This chart tells us a couple of things. First, the cup and handle formation identified last week has now delivered its promised surge and we have broken through the level set in the first round of the European crtisis in May 2010.

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Second, if we take CDS prices as a proxy for bank funding pressures, we can see also on this chart that although the rise is alarming, it will have to be significant and sustained ala 2008 to cause the banks actual distress.

We will track it.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.