Bears turn bulls

Tuesday, 14 November 2023

The Markrt Ear kicks us off.

Most bullish bear ever

We had “best recession ever” and now Mike Wilson becomes the most bullish bear ever. Mike Wilson expects near-term uncertainty to give way to an earnings recovery. For December 2024, Mike forecasts a 17.0x P/E multiple on 12-month forward EPS (2025) of US$266, which equates to a 4,500 price target ~12 months from today. Mike sees a strong earnings growth environment in 2025 (+16%Y), as positive operating leverage and tech-driven productivity growth (AI) lead to margin expansion. (Morgan Stanley)

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About the author

David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.