China Flash PMI sags, dollar flogged

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Discomfort is brewing to our north. China’s Flash PMI for June is out and looks a bit sick at 48.3, down 0.9 points from May. Output fell sharply, as did new orders at home and abroad:

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This report is weak without being dire but combined with the ongoing credit crunch they’ve got going up there, China is becoming an increasing worry.

HSBC slashed its growth forecasts a well :

  • Beijing’s new leaders prefer to use reforms rather than stimulus to sustain growth.
  • While reforms can boost long-term growth prospects, they will have a limited impact in the short term$
  • We cut our GDP forecasts to 7.4% (from 8.2%) for this year and 2014 (from 8.4%). Growth should rebound in 2015slower growth

The dollar got smashed straight to 92.4 cents but has rebounded to 92.6. Both reports below.

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130620 China – Faster Reform, Slower Growth by David Smith

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific's leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.
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