Weekly RP Data house price update

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ScreenHunter_07 Mar. 20 20.55

By Leith van Onselen

In the week ended 30 May 2013, the RP Data-Rismark 5-city daily dwelling price index, which covers the five major capital city markets, recorded a large -0.49% decline, which followed last week’s -0.75% fall. It was the third weekly decline in a row (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_28 May. 30 11.00
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Results were mixed, with falls in Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane partly offset by rises in Perth and Adelaide (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_29 May. 30 11.02

Values are down -1.13% so far in May at the 5-city level, with all capitals except Perth experiencing significant declines (see next chart).

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ScreenHunter_30 May. 30 11.04

Over the past 12 months, values have risen by 2.91% at the 5-city level, with all major markets except for Adelaide experiencing increases (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_31 May. 30 11.05
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The next chart plots the daily movements on a 14-day moving average, in order to smooth volatility. As you can see, the uptrend that has been apparent across most capitals has slowed significantly and some toppish formations have taken hold (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_32 May. 30 11.06

Values are down -4.7% since peak at the 5-city level, with all major capitals in negative territory (see next chart).

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ScreenHunter_33 May. 30 11.08

However, major capital home values have now gained 2.9% since bottoming in May 2012, with all capitals rebounding (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_34 May. 30 11.09
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Tomorrow, the month-end results at the 5-city level will be available, with data on the smaller capitals to be released later on.

unconventionaleconomist@hotmail.com

www.twitter.com/Leithvo

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.
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